12/14/17

Morning Bullet Points - 12/14/2017

GOOD MORNING—

MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

  • Markets trading mixed overnight with better Argentine rains weighing on the soy complex.
  • Export sales this morning for wheat 588,800 MT (250-450 expected), o/c corn 866,900 MT (700-1,100), old crop soybeans 1,452,600 MT (1,400-2,000), new crop soybeans 113,200 MT (0-150).
  • Big meal sales possibly related to Argentine crop concerns.  Everything else within the range of expectations.
  • Corn technically trading at the bottom of its recent range with 3.50 acting like a magnet to March corn.  Support at 3.48 and resistance 3.55.
  • Soybeans technically are testing support currently with downside potential to 9.30 if the market cannot find buyers today.  Resistance at 9.80.
  • Wheat technically had a strong up day yesterday, but was an inside day nonetheless.  Support at 4.10 and resistance 4.20.

WEATHER

  • Brazil weather continues to be good with a dry 5-day period followed by a 6-15 with rains.
  • Argentine rains the last day were better than expected with better rains seen this weekend and again mid-next week.
  • Overall, Argentina is looking a little better while Brazil has been in good shape all along.

OUTLOOK

  • Corn is trading at support with no major fundamental news coming down the pipe before the end of the year.  Look for a quiet trade for the next few weeks with seasonals suggesting we could see 10-20 cents upside by the end of the year.
  • Soybeans are trading at important support.  The market has priced in some of the improved Argentine weather, so any reversion to a drier outlook and buyers may re-engage.  Producers that have sold a significant amount of soybeans may want to look at re-owning.
  • Wheat bounced yesterday but remains in its lower trend.

Fun Fact of the Day: The Goddard Space Flight Center's lists 2,271 satellites currently in orbit. Russia has the most satellites currently in orbit, with 1,324 satellites, followed by the U.S. with 658.

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